Tag: Boston condo market

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July Was Best Month For Home Sales Since 2006

Great July market review from The Globe’s Chris Reidy below…

By Chris Reidy

|  GLOBE STAFF  AUGUST 29, 2013

The number of Massachusetts single-family homes sold in July was up more than 18 percent on a year-to-year comparison basis as the Bay State had its best month for sales volume since June 2006, the Warren Group said Thursday.

Condominium sales in the state were also up sharply. Meanwhile, the median price of a single-family home rose 10 percent in July, increasing to $349,000, said the Warren Group, a Boston company that tracks local real estate activity.

“Many recent real estate reports have signaled a strong real estate recovery, and our numbers speak to that rebound,” David Harris, editorial director of the Warren Group, said in a statement. “While consumer confidence and strong employment numbers continue to bolster the market, there’s concern that higher mortgage rates and increasing home prices could dampen the revitalized market.”

Last month, 5,941 single-family homes were sold statewide sold, up from 5,014 sold during July 2012, the Warren Group said.

As for condos, 2,336 were sold in the state during July, up nearly 17 percent from the same month a year ago.

July’s median selling price for a Massachusetts condo was $310,000, up 5.5 percent from July 2012.

The Massachusetts Association of Realtors also issued its monthly report on the local housing market Thursday. The association uses a different method than the Warren Group does to calculate sales activity.

According to the association, there were 5,750 detached single-family homes sold this July, a 20.3 percent increase from a year ago. The July 2013 total was the most homes sold in one month since July 2004.

In a statement, association president Kimberly Allard-Moccia said: “The combination of buyers wanting to close and move in before the start of the school year and their concern over increasing interest rates resulted in another positive month in July. Hopefully the activity of the past few months will encourage homeowners who are thinking about selling to put their homes on the market. Buyer demand is there, but the shortage of inventory often prices buyers out of the market.”

Chris Reidy can be reached at [email protected].

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Where Condos Are Going Over Asking Most

Below is an interesting post from David Bates at CurbedBoston. With all the “over asking” activity it’s a fascinating analysis.

Where and Why Hub Condos Go for Over or Under Asking

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Another month of Boston condominium closings and another couple of hundred above-ask offers accepted.

In nine key condo markets in July, 55.9 percent of sales prices were greater than list prices, which narrowly improves on June’s wicked impressive 55.4 percent share of over-ask offers.

As far as individual condos that sold for the most over-ask, 71-73 Stearns Road, #2, in Brookline sold for $121,00 over-ask; 85 Fayerweather Street in Cambridge sold for $131,000 over-ask; and 79 Chandler Street, #2, in the South End went for $226,000 over-ask.

As well, out of about 1,100 total closings in June and July in these nine key markets, about 90 offers went at least 10 percent over-ask, a segment I think of as “extreme over-asks.” On the other side of the real estate coin, only 62 June/July sales had even 5 percent negotiating room. Those sales with at least 5 percent negotiating room are a segment I think of as “under-asks.”

As I looked at the details of the extreme over-asks and under-asks, I wondered what separated them? Was there any characteristic that could determine whether an on-market condo would attract extreme or negotiated offers? I decided to look into it.

My first thought was to compare location, location, location. What I found out was that extreme over-asks were most prolific in Somerville, where almost one out of every five sales was extreme, and Cambridge, where nearly one out of every seven closings was extreme. In fact, I saw that just four markets (Cambridge, Somerville, Brookline and JP) made up more than 80 percent of all the extreme sales that had occurred in these two months.

Did that mean that under-ask offers permeated in the markets that weren’t dominated by extremes? In one case, this was very true. The No. 1 location for under-asks was Back Bay, a market that not only accounted for more than one-third of all under-asks, but also a market where extreme over-asks were rare.

In other neighborhoods, location didn’t seem to be much of an indicator of whether a condo was going to attract extreme or negotiated offers. For example, Brookline was among the most prolific for extreme over-asks (16), while at the same time it had the second most under-ask offers (10).

If it wasn’t location, then what was the best indicator of whether a condo was most likely to garner under-ask or extreme over-ask offers? The best indicator I found was market time. The shorter the time a condominium was on market, the more likely it was going to get extreme over-ask offers; and the longer the time was on market, the more likely that it was going to receive a negotiated offer.

While the vast majority of extremes sold in seven days or less (63 percent), nearly seven out of every eight (87 percent) under-asks were on market for at least 12 days. And, while only 5 percent of the extremes made it 30 days on market, 50 percent of the under-asks lasted at least 36 days on the market.

So, if negotiating room is the most important room in your condo purchase, don’t look at the neighborhood, look at days on market.

 

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5 Reasons To Sell Now

I couldn’t have said it better, and I reiterate that I rarely post “Buy Now”, “Sell Now” articles, but this succinctly outlines the reasons why…and with a national perspective.

Selling a House? 5 Reasons You Should Do It Now

by THE KCM CREW

five fingersMany are talking about why now is a great time to buy a home. Today, we want to look at why it might also be an opportune time to sell your house. Here are the Top 5 Reasons we believe now may be a perfect time to put your house on the market.

1.) Demand Is High

Homes are selling at the fastest pace since November 2009 when the market spiked in response to the home buyer tax credit. The most recent Existing Home Sales Report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) showed that monthly sales increased over the same month last year. Total sales have been above year-ago levels for 22 consecutive months. There are buyers out there right now (buyer traffic is 31 percent stronger than a year ago) and they are serious about purchasing.

2.) Supply Is Beginning to Increase

Total housing inventory is rising. Many expect inventory to continue to rise as more sellers escape the shackles of negative equity. Selling now while demand is high and before supply increases may garner you your best price.

3.) New Construction Is Coming Back

Over the last several years, most homeowners selling their home did not have to compete with a new construction project around the block. As the market is recovering, more and more builders are jumping back in. These ‘shiny’ new homes will again become competition as they are an attractive alternative for many purchasers.

4.) Interest Rates Are Rising

According to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, interest rates for a 30-year mortgage have shot up to 3.98% which represents a jump of more than ½ point since the beginning of the year. Even those trying to be the voice of reason on this issue are projecting higher rates. For example, Polyana da Costa, senior mortgage analyst atBankrate.com said:

“Rates are unlikely to keep going up so quickly and should remain below 5%.”

Whether you are moving up or moving down, your housing expense will be more a year from now if a mortgage is necessary to purchase your next home.

5.) It’s Time to Move On with Your Life

Look at the reason you are thinking about selling and decide whether it is worth waiting. Is the possibility of a few extra dollars more important than being with family; more important than your health; more important than having the freedom to go on with your life the way you think you should?

You already know the answers to the questions we just asked. You have the power to take back control of your situation by putting the house on the market today. The time may have come for you and your family to move on and start living the life you desire. That is what is truly important.

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Boston Prices Soar

Interesting fact from Trulia that Scott reported on Boston.com

Boston proces soar while the suburbs lag.

Posted by Scott Van Voorhis, Boston.com

Home and condo prices in Greater Boston’s suburbs rose a solid 6.1 percent over the first five months of 2013 compared to the same period in 2012, real estate portal Trulia reports.

But Boston home and condo prices blew that number away, rising 10.1 percent during the same period.

While price increases in the cities are outpacing the suburbs around the country, Boston is in a league of its own, right along with New York, where prices are also on a tear.

“The difference makes it among the biggest gaps in the country,” Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, commented in an email.

Yet despite or maybe because of the rising city prices, the suburbs are seeing markedly faster population growth.

While urban areas saw their overall population rise by .36 percent, the suburbs grew much faster, by .56 percent, Trulia reports.

Leading the upward charge in prices are “high-rise neighborhoods,” as well as ethnically diverse neighborhood and zip codes with a significant percentage of same sex couples.

Needless to say, such diversity is for the most part the monopoly of urban areas right now – a pattern particularly evident in Greater Boston. Our suburbs, for the most part, are the opposite of diverse.

Neighborhoods where no particular ethnic or racial group makes up the majority saw prices rise 14.3 percent. And in neighborhoods where same-sex couples account for more than 1 percent, prices rose a staggering 16.5 percent.

It does make you wonder whether the cities and suburbs are getting ready to change places now, with rising urban prices pushing anyone who can’t afford elevated prices and rents into the suburbs.

 

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Boston Condo Prices At Record High

 

Jenifer’s article today in the Globe…WOW!

Luxury units help push Boston condo prices to record

Low inventory likely to remain a factor

By Jenifer B. McKim

|  GLOBE STAFF  JULY 23, 2013

Condominium prices in Boston’s downtown market jumped to a record high in the second quarter of the year, driven by strong demand, tight inventories, and a taste for luxury, according to data to be released Tuesday.

The median price for a condo in Boston’s central neighborhoods increased to $537,950 in the three-month period that ended in June, a 5.3 percent increase from same period a year ago, according to LINK, a Boston company that tracks condo sales in a 12-neighborhood area, including the Back Bay and Beacon Hill.

That beat the previous record of $537,000 during the first quarter of 2013, according to LINK, which has been tracking local condo data since 1993.

Strong sales of luxury condos, which include services like a valet and concierge, helped push the citywide median value — the midway point between the lowest and highest sale prices — to the record. The median price of a luxury condo jumped to $1.4 million from $1.24 million in the second quarter of 2012, a more than 13 percent increase.

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Sales of luxury condos increased by 2.4 percent between April and June, according to LINK.

“We are zooming right ahead,’’ said John Ranco, a senior sales associate with Hammond Residential Real Estate LLC in the South End. Ranco said buyers “are out there in force. It is just the matter of finding the right property.”

That hasn’t been easy for many house hunters. As in the broader Massachusetts real estate market, listings have shrunk as more buyers come into the market, according to LINK, which tracks condos in the Back Bay, Beacon Hill, Charlestown, the Fenway, the Leather District, Midtown, the North End, the Seaport, South Boston, the South End, the Waterfront, and the West End.

Inventory for condos in these neighborhoods dropped in June to 328 units from 531 a year ago, a 38.2 percent drop.

The shortage of properties on the market contributed to the slight decline in overall condo sales, which fell 1.2 percent from the second quarter of 2012, according to LINK.

Kevin Ahearn, president of the Boston-based residential brokerage firm, Otis & Ahearn Inc., said he expects tight inventory will keep pushing prices in the city’s downtown market for years. There are very few new listings, he said.

“We are seeing the front end of a very big move up in pricing,” he said.

Home values throughout the Boston area are on the rise. Median sales prices for condos in Greater Boston — considered roughly the region within the Interstate 495 loop — rose to a record $422,000 in June, a 5.5 percent increase from the $400,000 value during the same month last year, according to the Greater Boston Association of Realtors, which released data Monday.

Single-family homes also rose to a record $541,500 in June, a 7.8 percent increase from the same time last year, the association said.

Within the city of Boston, areas like South Boston and Charlestown — neighborhoods with relatively lower costs — have experienced some of the biggest jumps in condo values over the last several months as buyers are unable to find or afford properties in other downtown neighborhoods, said Debra Blair, president of LINK.

“It will be another three to five years before we have inventory,’’ she said. “That will keep pressure on prices going up.”

Jenifer B. McKim can be reached at [email protected]. Follow her on Twitter@jbmckim.

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Goode and Farmer Report – Boston July 2013

 Condos are selling 46% faster than last year and there are 38% less available for sale.

Jon photo 2There are two big numbers that stand out when looking at Boston condo sales through the 2nd quarter. In all Boston neighborhoods combined, days on market have decreased an average 46% in 2013. The number of available condos for sale has decreased 38% to 693 properties for sale from 1,123 at this time last year…and these figures are down from very low 2012 numbers! Condos are selling 46% faster than last year and there are 38% less available for sale.  How’s that for a volatile dynamic.

 

All Boston neighborhoods combined saw a 9% increase in the average sales price of condos to $605K from $553K last year. The total number of condos sold was flat at 2,007 units vs. 2,034 units. This real estate market remains relatively healthy but the continuing decrease in inventory levels is beginning to affect the number of sales.

The Back Bay, saw a 13% increase in average sales price to $1.309M but a 19% decrease in sales from 248 in 2012 to 202 this year. The inventory of available condos for sale dropped 36% to 101 units.

The South End saw a 15% increase in the average sales price to $791K from $691K in 2012, but a 4% decrease in the number of sales to 268.  Inventory of condos for sale decreased a whopping 47% to 57 from 107 last year. This will continue to be a factor in market performance going forward.

South Boston saw the largest decrease in inventory in downtown Boston. Available condos for sale dropped 53% to 46 from 98 available for sale last year. The average sales price of a condo increased by 10% to $452K from $410K last year. The number of sales dropped 1% to 245 vs 249.

Inventory remains the problem, but this market is so resilient and so desirable that declining inventory levels are just now beginning to impact sales. We will keep an eye on the very important fall market to see where this trend takes us.

 

Boston Q2 2013

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Pending home sales jump 10.3% in one year.

Great national market recap from Tara Steele at Agent Genius.

by 

Pending home sales continue to rise.

9 Telegraph Hill. List price $2.295M Pending.
9 Telegraph Hill. List price $2.295M Pending.

Although pending home sales improved only 0.3 percent in April, according to the National Association of Realtors, contract signings actually rose 10.3 percent compared to April 2012. Pending sales have now been above year-ago levels for the past 24 months, marking a very slow but somewhat sure recovery for housing.

Regional pending home sales varied, as the Northeast and Midwest saw improvement, while the South and West both dropped. NAR reports that home contract activity is at the highest level since April 2010, immediately before the deadline for the home buyer tax credit which spurred a metaphorical gold rush on homes.

Existing home sales expected to rise to 5M

Dr. Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist said, “The housing market continues to squeak out gains from already very positive conditions. Pending contracts so far this year easily correspond to higher closed home sales in 2013. Total existing-home sales are expected to rise just over 7 percent to about 5 million this year.”

“Because of inventory shortages, higher home sales will push up home values to the highest level in five years,” Dr. Yun added. NAR says the national median existing-home price should increase close to 8.0 percent and exceed $190,000 in 2013.

Sales varied according to region

Home contract activity rose 11.5 percent in the Northeast, marking a 17.7 percent increase from April 2012 and jumped 3.2 percent for the month in the Midwest, and a whopping 15.1 percent for the year.

Meanwhile, pending home sales slid 1.1 percent in the South, but rose 12.3 percent compared to April 2012. The tough spot is currently the West region which saw a 7.6 percent dip in signed contracts, pulling the region down 2.6 percent for the year.

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Rising Rates!

interesting post on rising rates from Scott at Boston.com

Will rising rates spur panic buying?

Posted by Scott Van Voorhis

But before the chill sets in, sales could very well go into overdrive as buyers seek to lock in rock-bottom rates before they are gone.

Interest rates have just topped 4 percent. OK, that’s still incredibly low, but up sharply from 3.4 percent at the beginning of May.

If you doubt the power of the herd mentality to drive sales and prices in the real estate market, just recall what happened back during the nutty spring of 2010 as the expiration of the home buyer tax credit loomed.

Buyers bid up prices on homes in a scramble to grab the seemingly free government money before the offer expired, often negating the value of the $8,000 credit.

Could we see some panic buying over the summer if rates keep pushing up?

Don’t bet against it.

That said, in the longer term, higher rates could put a chill on sales, especially in high-priced markets like Greater Boston, or so says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

OK, NAR is not exactly the first place I look for candid insight, but I thought Yun’s observations in this Forbes piece were worth looking at.

“In Middle America I don’t see much impact since homes are so affordable,” explains Yun. “The more expensive coastal regions is where one will begin to feel the first decline or impact.” He suspects that California metro areas and east coast hubs like Boston, New York, and Washington D.C. could begin to experience slackening sales because low-interest monthly mortgage payments in these relatively pricier places have helped make homes seem more affordable to more buyers despite the fact that relative to income, principal amounts are still expensive.

Are you ready to hit the panic button? Ready to buy now and ask questions later before rates go higher?

 

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Home Values Rise In Boston Area

Great Case-Shiller chart illustrating the 2005 peak and where we are now.

Home values rise in the Boston area

Region’s prices less than 15% below peak; national numbers also show increase

By Jenifer B. McKimGLOBE STAFF

Home values in the Boston area increased by 6.7 percent in March compared with the same time last year, according to data released Tuesday by the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, another indicator of a rejuvenated housing market.

Nationwide, home prices increased 10.9 percent compared with March 2012, according to Case-Shiller, and values increased in all 20 metro areas measured by the firm. Because Case-Shiller measures repeat homes sales, it is considered one of the best markers of the nation’s housing health.

“Other housing market data reported in recent weeks confirm these strong trends: Housing starts and permits, sales of new homes and existing homes continue to trend higher,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

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The increase in the Boston area was less dramatic than in other regions that were harder hit by the housing downfall. Between 2005 and 2009, home prices in the Boston region dropped about 20 percent, but the market has generally been more stable than the nation as a whole. Since 2009, area home values have fluctuated and now are less than 15 percent below their September 2005 peak.

Barry Bluestone, director of the Kitty and Michael Dukakis Center for Urban and Regional Policy at Northeastern University, expects steady but moderate price increases for single-family homes in the Boston area over the next few years, as more people put their homes on the market. Bluestone said he expects prices for multifamily homes and condominiums to rise even faster. “Older baby boomers are going to look to downsize and younger professionals will be less interested in moving into the suburbs and having to put up with long, tedious commutes,” he said.

Jenifer B. McKim can be reached at [email protected]. Follow her on Twitter@jbmckim.

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Inching Towards Normal

Interesting post from Inman. “56% of the way back to normal”.  I’ll examine in a future post relative to our local markets.(Cute barometer.)

Trulia: Housing market inching closer to normal

3 key indicators 56% of the way back to pre-bubble levels
Inman News

Inman News Staff Writer
Apr 23, 2013
Trulia housing barometer.

The housing market continued to trudge towards a recovery in March, with rising construction starts and falling foreclosure and delinquency rates bringing market conditions closer to those of a balanced one, according to Trulia’s Housing Barometer.

The barometer summarizes three key housing market indicators — construction starts, existing home sales, and the delinquency-plus-foreclosure rate — looking at how current conditions compare to those recorded at the depths of the housing crisis and those recorded before the housing bubble.

Trulia noted that while existing home sales dipped slightly from February to March, they were up 10 percent from a year ago. Residential construction posted a 47 percent annual gain in March, and the share of mortgages in delinquency or foreclosure fell to 9.96 percent, down a full percentage point from the same time last year.

As a result, Trulia’s Housing Barometer puts the housing market at 56 percent of the way back to normal in March, compared to 54 percent in February and 33 percent a year ago.

This month’s improvement is even better than it looks, said Trulia Chief Economist Jed Kolko, because of a shift of sales from distressed to conventional and early signs that the inventory crunch may be easing, which would bring some relief to would-be homebuyers.

– See more at: http://www.inman.com/2013/04/23/trulia-housing-market-inching-closer-to-normal/#sthash.TaipRQUa.dpuf